Abstract
Background: BreastScreen, Australia’s population screening program, was disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic. This study examined the pandemic’s effect on attendance and assessment outcome data to inform service planning for the recovery period.
Methods: BreastScreen Western Sydney data from ‘pre-COVID’ (2018 and 2019) versus ‘COVID-affected’ years (2020 and 2021) were analysed. Number of screens, recall rate, sociodemographic data of clients, imaging and pathological features of malignancies analysed.
Results: During the four year study period, COVID-affected years demonstrated an 18.8% reduction in screening episodes (77,510 vs 95,467, P<0.001) and 16.3% reduction in malignancies (512 vs 612, P=0.49) compared to pre-COVID years. The cancer detection rate (cancers detected per 10,000 screens) remained similar (52.8 vs 52.3 per 10,000 screens for invasive cancer, P=0.89 and 66.1 vs 64.1 for all malignancy, P=0.62), and recall rate was lower (4.2% vs 4.8% P<0.001). Younger women and first-time screeners were less likely to attend during COVID. There was no significant difference in the proportion of DCIS vs invasive cancers (20.1% vs 18.5%, P=0.48), the mean invasive tumour size (18.7mm vs 17.8, P=0.37), or size of DCIS (46.4 vs 21.8, P=0.11) between COVID-affected and pre-COVID years.
Conclusion: There was an expected reduction in the number of screens and cancers detected during COVID, without a change in tumour size or cancer detection rate. Younger women should be targeted for catch-up screening. Services should plan for the 19% of the screening cohort that failed to attend during the pandemic as they may present with later-stage cancers.
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